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Tropical Weather Update


941 
ABNT20 KNHC 252008
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook...Resent
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 25 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the final advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie, located a little more than 1000 miles
west-southwest of the Azores.

A broad area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of Cape
Hatteras, North Carolina, continues to produce disorganized showers
and a few thunderstorms.  Satellite and surface data indicate that
the circulation of the low remains elongated and not well defined.
However, this system could still become a tropical depression this
afternoon or tonight while it moves slowly northwestward to
northward.  By Wednesday, additional development appears unlikely
due to strong upper-level winds while the system moves northward and
north-northeastward near the eastern United States coast.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the system later this afternoon.  Regardless of development, this
system is likely to bring scattered showers and thunderstorms across
portions of northeastern South Carolina and eastern North Carolina
this afternoon and tonight.  In addition, dangerous surf conditions
and rip currents are expected along portions of the North Carolina
coast today.  For more information, please see products from your
local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

The remnants of Kirk are located more than 800 miles east of the
Windward Islands and are moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 mph.
This system continues to produce a large area of showers and
thunderstorms, along with winds to near gale force on its north
side.  Although satellite data indicate that the system still lacks
a closed circulation, this disturbance could still redevelop into a
tropical cyclone during the next day or two before it moves into an
area of highly unfavorable upper-level winds as it approaches the
Caribbean Sea.  Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should
monitor the progress of this disturbance as gusty winds and locally
heavy rains are likely over the next couple of days even if the
system does not redevelop into a tropical cyclone.  For more
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie is forecast to meander over the central
Atlantic for the next day or so.  By Thursday or Friday, Leslie is
expected to reacquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while
the cyclone moves slowly eastward to east-northeastward over the
north-central Atlantic. For more information on this system, see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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Marine Weather Forecast

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Point Forecast Weather for 10NM ENE Fernandina Beach FL Atlantic Ocean Latitude: 30.715 Longitude: -81.3015

NOAA National Weather Service Marine Forecasts

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Buoy Reports

Observations from ships and stations within 100 nautical miles of Cut 2N front range, St. Marys River, Florida Latitude: 30.715 Longitude: -81.3015
Recent Observations
  • Station 41112 - OFFSHORE FERNANDINA BEACH, FL (132)

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 30.709N 81.292W or 1 nautical miles SSE of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Significant Wave Height: 3 ft
    Dominant Wave Period: 9 sec
    Average Period: 5.4 sec
    Mean Wave Direction: E (85°)
    Water Temperature: 86°F (30.2°C)

  • Station FRDF1 - 8720030 - FERNANDINA BEACH, FL

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 30.675N 81.465W or 9 nautical miles WSW of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Wind Direction: E (80°)
    Wind Speed: 4 knots
    Wind Gust: 9 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.11 in (1019.6 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.06 in (-1.9 mb)
    Air Temperature: 89°F (31.4°C)
    Water Temperature: 86°F (30.0°C)

  • Station MYPF1 - 8720218 - MAYPORT (BAR PILOTS DOCK), FL

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 30.398N 81.428W or 20 nautical miles SSW of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Wind Direction: ENE (60°)
    Wind Speed: 8 knots
    Wind Gust: 10 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.10 in (1019.2 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.06 in (-1.9 mb)
    Air Temperature: 83°F (28.6°C)
    Water Temperature: 86°F (29.9°C)

  • Station LTJF1 - 8720228 - LITTLE JETTIES, ST. JOHNS RIVER, FL

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 30.379N 81.446W or 22 nautical miles SSW of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Air Temperature: 85°F (29.7°C)
    Dew Point: 73°F (22.6°C)

  • Station BLIF1 - 8720233 - BLOUNT ISLAND COMMAND, ST JOHNS RIVER, FL

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 30.393N 81.523W or 23 nautical miles SSW of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Wind Direction: E (100°)
    Wind Speed: 6 knots
    Wind Gust: 8 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.11 in (1019.7 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.06 in (-1.9 mb)
    Air Temperature: 87°F (30.6°C)
    Dew Point: 77°F (24.8°C)
    Visibility: 5.9 nmi

  • Station DMSF1 - 8720219 - DAMES POINT, FL

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 30.387N 81.559W or 24 nautical miles SW of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Water Temperature: 86°F (29.9°C)

  • Station SAXG1 - MARSH ISLAND, SAPELO ISLAND RESERVE, GA

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 31.418N 81.296W or 42 nautical miles N of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Wind Direction: E (100°)
    Wind Speed: 7 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.09 in (1019.0 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.06 in (-2.0 mb)
    Air Temperature: 87°F (30.4°C)
    Dew Point: 72°F (22.0°C)

  • Station 41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH, GA

    September 25, 2018 2:50 pm EST
    Location: 31.4N 80.868W or 46 nautical miles NNE of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Wind Direction: NE (50°)
    Wind Speed: 6 knots
    Wind Gust: 8 knots
    Significant Wave Height: 3 ft
    Dominant Wave Period: 8 sec
    Average Period: 5.5 sec
    Mean Wave Direction: E (81°)
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.09 in (1019.1 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.06 in (-1.9 mb)
    Air Temperature: 83°F (28.1°C)
    Dew Point: 71°F (21.8°C)
    Water Temperature: 85°F (29.7°C)

  • Station SAUF1 - ST. AUGUSTINE, FL

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 29.857N 81.265W or 52 nautical miles S of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Wind Direction: E (90°)
    Wind Speed: 7 knots
    Wind Gust: 9 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.10 in (1019.2 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.05 in (-1.7 mb)
    Air Temperature: 83°F (28.4°C)
    Water Temperature: 83°F (28.6°C)

  • Station RCYF1 - 8720625 - RACY POINT, ST. JOHNS RIVER, FL

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 29.8N 81.55W or 57 nautical miles SSW of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Water Temperature: 86°F (29.9°C)

  • Station GTXF1 - PELLICER CREEK, GUANA TOLOMATO MATANZAS RESERVE, FL

    September 25, 2018 2:45 pm EST
    Location: 29.658N 81.233W or 64 nautical miles S of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Wind Direction: E (100°)
    Wind Speed: 5 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.12 in (1020.0 mb)
    Air Temperature: 86°F (29.9°C)
    Dew Point: 75°F (23.8°C)

  • Station FPKG1 - 8670870 - FORT PULASKI, GA

    September 25, 2018 3:00 pm EST
    Location: 32.035N 80.903W or 81 nautical miles NNE of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Wind Direction: ESE (120°)
    Wind Speed: 7 knots
    Wind Gust: 10 knots
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.10 in (1019.4 mb)
    Pressure Tendency: -0.07 in (-2.3 mb)
    Air Temperature: 83°F (28.4°C)
    Water Temperature: 83°F (28.4°C)

  • SHIP

    September 25, 2018 19:00 UTC
    Location: 31.9N 80.4W or 85 nautical miles NNE of 30.72N 81.3W.
    Wind Direction: NNE (30°)
    Wind Speed: 5 knots
    Significant Wave Height: 0 ft
    Dominant Wave Period: 3.0 sec
    Atmospheric Pressure: 30.12 in (1020.0 mb)
    Air Temperature: 84°F (29.0°C)
    Dew Point: 82°F (27.6°C)
    Water Temperature: 84°F (29.0°C)
    Visibility: 11 nmi


B = Buoy, C = C-MAN Station, D = Drifting Buoy, S = Ship, O = Other
Data provided by the National Data Buoy Center

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This Page Delivered 16:35:16 9/25/2018This Page Delivered 16:35:16 9/25/2018 .

Page Author : Greg Johnson Contact Email:

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